“If the status quo is maintained, where the majority of volumes from the Strait of Hormuz remain unable to flow, then prices are very low compared to the impact that will have on supply, demand of the market,” Kavonic told CNBC on Sunday. “Every week, you’ll be seeing over 100 million barrels not reach the markets, and that suggests prices should be heading well more than $100 a barrel.”
中信证券首席经济学家明明对南方周末记者分析，历史经验表明，地缘政治冲突对贵金属价格的影响主要表现在冲突前期。投资者的避险交易，往往持续时间不长。因此，预计当前地缘政治形势对贵金属价格的影响可能是“脉冲式”的。
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